Journal Press India®

Impact of Economic Crisis 2008 on Integration of Indian Stock Market with Emerging and Frontier Markets of Asia- A study of Pre and During Crisis Period

Vol 9 , Issue 1 , January - June 2020 | Pages: 14-30 | Research Paper  

https://doi.org/10.51976/gla.prastuti.v9i1.912003


Author Details ( * ) denotes Corresponding author

1. * Risha Khandelwal, Assistant Professor, Department of IBM, GLA University, Mathura, Uttar Pradesh, India (risha.khandelwal@gla.ac.in)
2. Kanhaiya Singh, Professor, Department of IBM, GLA University (Mathura), Mathura, Uttar Pradesh, India (kanhaiya.singh@gla.ac.in)

The purpose of this paper is to study linkages between emerging and frontier markets of Asia. The impact of US financial crisis will be studied on the relationship of select markets. Daily data on closing prices of indices of India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Sri Lanka and Pakistan is taken in local currency terms. Data spans from 2000 to 2010, and it is further sub divided in two parts – pre crisis (2000 to 2005) and During crisis ( 2006 to 2010). Johansen co- integration is applied, ADF and PP tests are applied to test stationary property of the time series. To understand short run linkages, Engle and Granger causality test is used. Results of Johansen test confirms the presence of long run relationship between the markets during crisis. Further, granger causality test confirms the presence of short run linkages between markets. Return and volatility spillovers are examined by GARCH model. This paper confirms significant changes in return and volatility spillovers in Pre and during crisis period.

Keywords

stock market integration, volatility, spillover, unit root, GARCH, Granger causality, stationary, co- integration.

  1. Aggarwal, R., & Kyaw, N. A. (2005). Equity market integration in the NAFTA region: Evidence from unit root and cointegration tests. International Review of Financial Analysis, 14(4), 393-406.
  2. Agmon, T. (1972). The relations among equity markets: a study of share price co‐movements in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany and Japan. The Journal of Finance, 27(4), 839-855.
  3. Al Nasser, O. M., & Hajilee, M. (2016). Integration of emerging stock markets with global stock markets. Research in International Business and Finance, 36, 1-12.
  4. Arshanapalli, B., Doukas, J., & Lang, L. H. (1995). Pre and post-October 1987 stock market linkages between US and Asian markets. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 3(1), 57-73.
  5. Bekaert, G., & Harvey, C. R. (2000). Foreign speculators and emerging equity markets. The Journal of Finance, 55(2), 565-613.
  6. Berben, R. P., & Jos Jansen, W. (2009). Bond market and stock market integration in Europe: a smooth transition approach. Applied Economics, 41(24), 3067-3080.
  7. Bollerslev T. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 1986, 31(3): 307–327.
  8. Brooks, C. (2019). Introductory econometrics for finance. Cambridge university press.
  9. Campbell, J. Y., & Hamao, Y. (1992). Predictable stock returns in the United States and Japan: A study of long‐term capital market integration. The Journal of Finance, 47(1), 43-69.
  10. Cheung, Y.-L., Mak, S., 1992. The international transmission of stock market fluctuations between the developed markets and the Asian–Pacific markets. Applied Financial Economics 2, 43–47
  11. Click, R. W., & Plummer, M. G. (2005). Stock market integration in ASEAN after the Asian financial crisis. Journal of Asian Economics, 16(1), 5-28.
  12. Daugherty, M. S., & Jithendranathan, T. (2015). A study of linkages between frontier markets and the US equity markets using multivariate GARCH and transfer entropy. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 32, 95-115.
  13. Diamandis, P. F. (2009). International stock market linkages: evidence from Latin America. Global Finance Journal, 20(1), 13-30.
  14. Divecha, A., Drach, J. and Stefek, D. (1992). `Emerging markets: a quantitative perspective', Journal of Portfolio Management, Fall, 41±50.
  15. Eun, C. S., & Shim, S. (1989). International transmission of stock market movements. Journal of financial and quantitative Analysis, 24(2), 241-256.
  16. Friedman, J., & Shachmurove, Y. (1997). Co-movements of major European community stock markets: A vector autoregression analysis. Global Finance Journal, 8(2), 257-277.long‐term capital market integration. The Journal of Finance, 47(1), 43-69.
  17. Ghosh, A., Saidi, R., & Johnson, K. H. (1999). Who moves the Asia‐Pacific stock markets—US or Japan? Empirical evidence based on the theory of cointegration. Financial review, 34(1), 159-169.
  18. Goyal, K. (2016). Globalization and its impact on transforming India's economy. International Journal of Research in Management and Business Studies, 3(4).
  19. Graham, M., Kiviaho, J., & Nikkinen, J. (2012). Integration of 22 emerging stock markets: A three-dimensional analysis. Global Finance Journal, 23(1), 34-47.
  20. Grubel, H. G. (1968). Internationally diversified portfolios: welfare gains and capital flows. The American Economic Review, 58(5), 1299-1314.
  21. Gujarati, D. N. (2009). Basic econometrics. Tata McGraw-Hill Education.
  22. Hamao, Y., Masulis, R. W., & Ng, V. (1990). Correlations in price changes and volatility across international stock markets. The review of financial studies, 3(2), 281-307.
  23. Hilliard, J. E. (1979). The relationship between equity indices on world exchanges. The Journal of Finance, 34(1), 103-114.
  24. Lane, P. R., & Milesi-Ferretti, G. M. (2003). International financial integration. IMF Staff Papers, 50(1), 82-113.
  25. Masih, A. M., & Masih, R. (1997). Dynamic linkages and the propagation mechanism driving major international stock markets: an analysis of the pre-and post-crash eras. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 37(4), 859-885.
  26. Mensi, W., Hammoudeh, S., Nguyen, D. K., & Kang, S. H. (2016). Global financial crisis and spillover effects among the US and BRICS stock markets. International Review of Economics & Finance, 42, 257-276.
  27. Mobius, Mark J., 1996, Mobius on Emerging Markets, FT Pitman Publishing.
  28. Nath Mukherjee, K., & Mishra, R. K. (2010). Stock market integration and volatility spillover: India and its major Asian counterparts. Research in International Business and Finance, 24(2), 235-251.
  29. Park, J., & Fatemi, A. M. (1993). The linkages between the equity markets of Pacific-Basin countries and those of the US, UK, and Japan: A vector autoregression analysis. Global Finance Journal, 4(1), 49-64.
  30. Pauer, F. (2005). Financial market integration and financial stability. Monetary Policy.
  31. Perera, A., & Wickramanayake, J. (2012). Financial integration in selected South Asian countries. South Asian Journal of Global Business Research, 1(2), 210-237.
  32. Phengpis, C., & Apilado, V. P. (2004). Economic interdependence and common stochastic trends: A comparative analysis between EMU and non-EMU stock markets. International Review of Financial Analysis, 13(3), 245-263.
  33. Rajwani, S., & Mukherjee, J. (2013). Is the Indian stock market cointegrated with other Asian markets?. Management Research Review, 36(9), 899-918.
  34. Rejeb, A. B., & Arfaoui, M. (2016). Financial market interdependencies: A quantile regression analysis of volatility spillover. Research in International Business and Finance, 36, 140-157
  35. Schindler, M. (2009). Measuring financial integration: A new data set. IMF Staff papers, 56(1), 222-238.
  36. Shabri Abd. Majid, M., Kameel Mydin Meera, A., Azmi Omar, M., & Abdul Aziz, H. (2009). Dynamic linkages among ASEAN-5 emerging stock markets. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 4(2), 160-184.
  37. Sok-Gee, C., Karim, M. A., & Karim, M. A. (2010). Volatility spillovers of the major stock markets in ASEAN-5 with the US and Japanese stock markets. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 44, 161-72.
  38. Syriopoulos, T. (2004). International portfolio diversification to Central European stock markets. Applied Financial Economics, 14(17), 1253-1268.
  39. Thomas, N. M., Kashiramka, S., & Yadav, S. S. (2017). Dynamic linkages among developed, emerging and frontier capital markets of Asia-Pacific region. Journal of Advances in Management Research, 14(3), 332-351.
  40. Tripathi, V., & Sethi, S. (2010). Integration of Indian stock market with World stock markets. Asian Journal of Business and Accounting, 3(1), 117-134.
  41. Wang, Y., Gunasekarage, A., & Power, D. M. (2005). Return and volatility spillovers from developed to emerging capital markets: the case of South Asia. In Asia Pacific Financial Markets in Comparative Perspective: Issues and Implications for the 21st Century (pp. 139-166). Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  42. Wang, Z., Yang, J., & Bessler, D. A. (2003). Financial crisis and African stock market integration. Applied Economics Letters, 10(9), 527-533.
Abstract Views: 22
PDF Views: 268

Advanced Search

News/Events

Indira Institute of ...

Indira Institute of Management, Pune Organizing International Confe...

D. Y. Patil Internat...

D. Y. Patil International University, Akurdi-Pune Organizing Nation...

ISBM College of Engi...

ISBM College of Engineering, Pune Organizing International Conferen...

Periyar Maniammai In...

Department of Commerce Periyar Maniammai Institute of Science &...

Institute of Managem...

Vivekanand Education Society's Institute of Management Studies ...

Institute of Managem...

Deccan Education Society Institute of Management Development and Re...

S.B. Patil Institute...

Pimpri Chinchwad Education Trust's S.B. Patil Institute of Mana...

D. Y. Patil IMCAM, A...

D. Y. Patil Institute of Master of Computer Applications & Managem...

Vignana Jyothi Insti...

Vignana Jyothi Institute of Management International Conference on ...

Department of Commer...

Department of Commerce, Faculty of Commerce & Business, University...

By continuing to use this website, you consent to the use of cookies in accordance with our Cookie Policy.