Journal Press India®

Illicit Financial Flows between Indo-Gulf Countries: An Empirical Assessment

Vol 6, Issue 2, July - December 2019 | Pages: 112-126 | Research Paper  

 
Article has been added to the cart.View Cart (0)
https://doi.org/10.17492/focus.v6i2.186699


Author Details ( * ) denotes Corresponding author

1. * Vasudha Gupta, Research Scholar, Applied Business Economics, Dayalbagh Educational Institute, Agra, Uttar Pradesh, India (vasudhadei@gmail.com)

This paper aims to explore the extent of illicit financial flows through trade misinvoicing between India and Gulf countries over the period 1991-92 to 2017-18. This study measures that the net illicit financial flows through trade misinvoicing between India and Gulf countries are US$ 478.78 billion. The result of bilateral intensity indexes proposed by Kojima (1964) and modified by Kunimoto (1977) related to trade misreporting indicates that India has intense relationships with UAE and Saudi Arab in both export as well as import side. The analysis also reveals that more intense relationship countries are the major source of illicit financial inflows of capital in India through overstated exports (financial fund flow) or understated imports (commodity flows). It implies that the trade agreement between India and Gulf countries did not helps to mitigate trade misinvoicing. So India needs to establish more effective management of its international trade flows.

Keywords

Illicit financial flows; Trade misinvoicing; Gulf countries; Bilateral intensity index; Exports; Imports

  1. Alam, I., & Quazi, R. (2003). Determinants of capital flight: An econometric case study of Bangladesh. International Review of Applied Economics, 17(1), 85-103. DOI: 10.1080/713673164.
  2. Baker, R., Clough, C., Kar, D., LeBlanc, B. & Simmons, J. (2014). Hiding in plain sight: Trade misinvoicing and the impact of revenue loss in Ghana, Kenya, Mozambique, Tanzania, and Uganda: 2002-2011. Global Financial Integrity: Washington, DC.
  3. Benita, F., & Urzua, C. M. (2016). Mirror trade statistics between China and Latin America. Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, 9(3), 177-189.
  4. Bhagwati, J. N. (1964). On the underinvoicing of imports. Bulletin of the Oxford University Institute of Economic and Statistics, 26(1), 389-397.
  5. Boyrie, M. E., Nelson, J. A., & Pak, S. J. (2007). Capital movement through trade misinvoicing: The case of Africa. Journal of Financial Crime, 14(4), 474-489. Doi: 10.1108/1359079071082818.
  6. Buehn, A., & Eichler, S. (2011). Trade misinvoicing: The dark side of world trade. The World Economy, 34(8), 1263-1287. Doi:10.1111/j.1467-9701.2011.01375.x
  7. Carton, C. & Slim, S. (2018). Trade misinvoicing in OECD countries: what can we learn from bilateral trade intensity indices? Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/326132374.
  8. Forson, R., Obeng, C. K., & Brafu-Insaidoo, W. G. (2017). Determinants of capital flight in Ghana. Journal of Small Business and Enterprise Development, 7(7), 151-180.
  9. Jha, R., & Nguyen, T. D. (2014). Trade misinvoicing and macroeconomic outcomes in India. Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis Working Paper 31/2014.
  10. Kar, D., & Spanjers, J. (2015). Illicit Financial Flows from Developing Countries: 2004-2013. Global Financial Integrity: Washington, DC.
  11. Kojima, K. (1964). The pattern of international trade among advanced countries. Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, 5(1), 16-36.
  12. Kunimoto, K. (1977). Typology of trade intensity indices. Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, 17(2), 15-32.
  13. Le, Q. V., & Rishi, M. (2006). Corruption and capital flight: An empirical assessment. International Economic Journal, 20(4), 523–540. DOI:10.1080/10168730601027161.
  14. Mahmood, Z., & Mahmood, R. (1993). Under-invoicing of imports: A case study of Pakistan. The Pakistan Development Review, 32(4), 1141-1155. DOI: 10.30541/v32i4II.
  15. Marini, M., Dippelsman, R., & Stanger, M. (2018). New estimates for direction of trade statistics. IMF Working Papers, Statistics Department, WP/18/16.
  16. Nitsch, V. (2017). Trade misinvoicing in developing countries. Center for global development policy paper. Washington, DC. Retrieved from http://www.cgdev.org/publication/trade misinvoicing developing-Countries.
  17. Patnaik, I., & Vasudevan, D. (2000). Trade misinvoicing and capital flight from India. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/234109519.
  18. Patnaik, I., Gupta, A. S., & Shah, A. (2012). Determinants of trade misinvoicing. Research Article Open Economies Review, 23, 891–910, DOI 10.1007/s11079-011-9214-4.
  19. Qureshi, T. A., & Mahmood, Z. (2015). The size of trade misinvoicing in Pakistan. National University of Science and Technology, Islamabad, Pakistan. MPRA Paper No. 65801. Retrieved from http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/65801/
  20. UNCTAD. (2016). Trade misinvoicing in primary commodities in developing countries: The cases of Chile, Côte D’ivoire, Nigeria, South Africa and Zambia. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development: Geneva.
Abstract Views: 214
PDF Views: 21

By continuing to use this website, you consent to the use of cookies in accordance with our Cookie Policy.